The Phillies are up against the current NL Cy Young betting favorite Sandy Alcantara. There's nothing negative to be said about Alcantara, he's been phenomenal this season. His metrics across the board are elite. However, the Marlins as a team have been really bad since May. To reiterate that again... Sandy Alcantara is very good, but the Marlins are not a good baseball team. It's important to distinguish those key points. The Phillies have faced Sandy Alcantara 5 times this season, and they are 3-2 in those games. In Alcantara's last start, the Phillies recorded 8 hits and 5 runs against him (3 earned runs). Phillies starting pitcher Bailey Falter has pitched well in his last 5 starts. He's actually pitched better on the road than he has at home, and just beat the Marlins in his last start. The Phillies have won 9 of the 11 games Falter has started this season, backing him has been profitable. The Marlins are one of the worst teams in the league hitting left handed pitching. For these reasons, we will take the plus money with the road dogs. Our bet is one unit on the moneyline.

This bet is a fade on Nationals starting pitcher Cory Abbott. The Nationals are 1-4 in the games Abbott has started this season. Abbott does not typically pitch deep into games, and the Nationals have a below average bullpen behind him. For the Orioles, their wild card chances are slipping away. Every game from here on out is very important for this team. The Orioles have a huge edge in the bullpen department, and their starting pitcher Dean Kremer has been pitching well since August. Kremer has solid road numbers, and an elite bullpen behind him. Our bet is one unit on the Orioles moneyline.

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