Free Pick Of The Day:

NBA:

0.5 UNIT

Knicks @ Pacers 8:30pm

Knicks +6 (-115)

This series has been a tale of the home team winning each game so far. Neither team has been able to steal a road game. The Pacers blew out the Knicks in their last game in Indiana, but followed it up with getting blown out in New York in game 5. These teams have very similar offensive and defensive efficiency metrics throughout the postseason. The Knicks have been slightly better on the defensive side of the ball, with Indiana holding the slight edge offensively. The biggest advantage across the board in this matchup is the Knicks ability to dominate the boards. We saw it in game 5, where New York outrebounded the Pacers 53-29! This included a 20-5 discrepancy on the offensive glass. The Knicks pulled off an upset on the road in Philly in game 6 during their first round series. We will see if they can pull off another upset tonight and crash the party for the Pacers fans. We are going to grab the +6 points with the road dogs and root for a tight game. Our stake is a half unit.
(5/17 at 12:05pm via BetRivers)

Free Pick Results 5/16/24:

MLB:

0.25 UNIT

Mets @ Phillies 6:40pm

Mets Moneyline (+130)

Road divisional dogs are one of our favorite MLB betting spots at SteadyPicks. There is an article at the bottom of the premium page that explains why there is often value in these games. In this particular matchup, we like the Mets pitching advantage, especially their bullpen edge. Phillies starter Tijuan Walker has a 5.28 FIP, and has allowed at least 1 home run in each of his 3 starts this season. Walker only allowed 1 earned run in his most recent start, but allowed 8 hits and a lot of hard contact against a poor Marlins lineup. Walker is a righty, and the Mets hit right handed pitching much better than they hit lefties. Mets starter Jose Quintana has a slightly better FIP than Walker in a bigger sample size. Quintana has not pitched well in his last 2 starts, but that is factored into this (+130) moneyline price. Quintana had several strong outings in April, so our hope is that he will trend back closer toward his averages in this game. If the Mets can keep the game close, or grab a lead, their 3rd ranked bullpen will have a big advantage over the Phillies 23rd ranked bullpen. This looks to be much closer to a 50-50 matchup. We will take a small flier on the Mets moneyline at this (+130) price.
(5/16 at 7:55am via Caesars)

(WIN)