This matchup features two starting pitchers that have been trending upward. Blue Jays lefty Yusei Kikuchi holds a 1.44 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in his last 4 starts (25 innings). The Orioles are starting rookie Grayson Rodriegues, who holds a 2.16 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in his last 4 starts (25 innings). The Orioles offense as a team is hitting .313 with a .905 OPS over the last week. The Blue Jays offense is hitting .209 as a team with a .696 OPS over that same stretch. The Orioles have been the better team in this matchup all season. Baltimore is 8-2 so far against Toronto this season. This will also be the 4th time the Orioles lineup has seen Kikuchi this season. We are going to side with the home team on the moneyline.

This game was postponed last night due to the weather in Southern California. We had a much better price on this matchup yesterday at (-125). Unfortunately that ticket voided, and the best number available today with the same pitching matchup is (-139). We don’t like the value nearly as much, but we are going to put our half unit back down to win slightly less. The Angels have had a brutal schedule throughout the month of August. They started the month off against the Braves. In their last 3 series, the Angels have played the Astros (in Houston), the Rangers (in Texas), and the Rays. The Reds are a quality team, but this will be a more favorable series for the Angels. Reds starting pitcher Graham Ashcraft has improved drastically this summer. In May/June, Ashcraft had some of the worst metrics in the MLB. Ashcraft’s strikeout rate has been dipping again, and his hard hit rate has been rising. Cincinnati has lost the last 3 games Ashcraft has started, and those games were against the Nationals, Marlins, and Guardians. It’s also worth noting that the Reds will travel cross country after a grueling series with the Blue Jays. Our biggest concern in this matchup is Angels starter Lucas Giolito. Since being traded to the Angels, Giolito has been terrible. He is 1-2 with a 9.19 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in August. Despite those poor metrics, we favor him in this starting pitching matchup. The Angels offense hit some expected regression with a thin lineup this month. With Mike Trout expected to return tonight, we should start to see the Angels offense creep back to where it was in June/July. Our wager is a half unit on the Angels moneyline.

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