Florida vs. Oregon State 2:30pm
Florida +8.5 (-110)
With Florida star QB Anthony Richardson opting out for this game, the bookmakers aren't giving Florida much respect. In addition to Richardson sitting out, 3 other starters have opted out (WR, OL, LB). Florida had 10 players enter the transfer portal, but it's key to know that none of those 10 players had a significant role on this team. Not a single one of them had more than 125 snaps. Oregon State only has one significant opt out, which was one of their best defensive backs. Aside from that, just about everyone who played significant snaps this season will be playing for Oregon State. Our model suggests this spread should be around 7 to 7.5, so we will gladly take the extra point of value here. Billy Napier went 2-1 in bowl games in his stop prior to Florida. He's a great recruiter, so we expect Florida to have plenty of talent filling in. Seeing that there is a bit of unknown with Florida's starting QB, just a half unit for our bet.
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