Last season's NL Cy Young award winner Sandy Alcantara has struggled in 2023. His ERA (4.64) is currently more than double what it was last season (2.28). Alcantara’s FIP and WHIP metrics are also significantly worse. The Marlins have lost 4 of his last 5 starts, but those games were against the Blue Jays, Red Sox, Braves, Phillies, and Orioles. That's as tough of a 5 game stretch as it gets. Despite that, Sandy’s metrics have been trending in the right direction. He has a 2.13 ERA in his last two starts. In Alcantara’s lone start against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium last season, he pitched a complete game and recorded a win. St. Louis looks to be going with a bullpen game today led by Dakota Hudson. This will be Hudson’s first start of the season. He has not pitched more than 3.1 innings in any of his 4 appearances this season. Hudson has a 1.80 ERA in 10 innings, but his FIP is north of 4. Behind Hudson is a Cardinals bullpen that holds a 4.46 ERA (5th worst in MLB). Our stake is a half unit on the road dogs to win.

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