An interesting betting trend on the Bucks, this team is 10-0 against the spread this season in back to back spots. The Bucks played in Utah last night, so this game fits the bill for this trend. That being said, we never bet a game purely based on trends, and we aren’t going to do so here. The Denver Nuggets will be at full strength tonight, as will the Bucks. This is the top team in the Western Conference taking on the top team in the Eastern Conference. The Denver Nuggets offense leads the NBA in field goal percentage, three point percentage, and they have the 2nd highest offensive rating in the league. The Bucks have the best defensive rating in the league, but rank 16th on the offensive side of that metric. Milwaukee has been good from a win/loss standpoint on the road this season. However, from a betting perspective they have been terrible as a road underdog. The Bucks are 4-9 against the spread in this spot, often being highly overvalued. Another key in this matchup, the Bucks have been struggling to defend the perimeter in recent weeks. The Nuggets three point shooting has been hot, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. are both shooting over 42% from deep this month. We will lay the 2.5 points with the Nuggets.

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