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UConn vs. Gonzaga 8:49pm
(NCAA Tournament Elite 8)
UConn Moneyline (-135)
Gonzaga brings the nation's longest active win streak into this game, winning 12 straight. The Zags trailed at halftime in their last two games against UCLA and TCU. However, with good halftime adjustments from coach Mark Few, and a big shot against UCLA, Gonzaga is back in the Elite 8. The UConn Huskies had two tight first halves in rounds 1 and 2 (against Iona and Saint Mary’s), but ultimately won by double digits in both matchups. In UConn’s sweet 16 matchup against Arkansas on Thursday, the Huskies dominated wire to wire. UConn is one of the few teams in the nation that has the offensive firepower to be in a shootout with Gonzaga. The Zags have the nations #1 offense in terms of adjusted efficiency. UConn ranks #3 in this metric. Both teams rebound well, and both teams shoot the three ball efficiently. With two fantastic offenses, this matchup for us comes down to the other side of the ball. Defensively, UConn has a big edge. The Huskies rank 13th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency, compared to 73rd for Gonzaga in this metric. No NCAA champion over the last 20 years has ranked outside of the top 22 in defensive efficiency. As good as the Gonzaga offense is, their defense ranks outside of the top 200 nationally defending the perimeter (opponents are shooting 35% from three point range), and defending the paint. Gonzaga typically makes up for this with good rebounding, but winning on the boards is going to be very tough in this matchup. UConn has two of the best big men in the country in Adama Sanogo, and 7"2 freshman Donovan Clingan. Our wager is one unit on the more balanced team to win.

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