There is a risk/reward aspect to making this wager early in the week. At this moment (Monday August 28th), Utah's quarterback Cam Rising is expected to start. Rising is 9 months removed from an ACL injury. These two teams opened up against one another last season with Florida pulling off the upset at home in the swamp. Florida was led by current Indianapolis Colts QB and 1st round draft pick Anthony Richardson. This year, Florida will start Graham Mertz, who transferred in after 4 years at Wisconsin. To put it lightly, Graham Mertz is not the same type of dual threat that Anthony Richardson was. This season’s matchup will be played in Utah, and the Utes will without a doubt be looking for revenge from last season. The value we see here from a betting perspective is directly tied to Utah’s QB. Most of the market is at -7 right now under the assumption that Cam Rising “might play”. According to the Utah media and their official depth chart, Rising will be the starter for this game. With Rising in the lineup, our model suggests this line should be closer to 8-9 points. We will put a half unit down now at -6.5, with the hopes that we will get a good closing number if Rising is officially ruled active.

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