This looks like a good matchup on paper for the Yankees. It’s no secret that the Yankees offense has struggled this season, but they have been hitting left handed pitching well. Tigers starting pitcher Tarik Skubal is a lefty, but he’s an elite lefty. Skubal holds a 1.92 FIP this season. This would be the best mark in the MLB by a significant margin if Skubal had enough innings pitched to qualify. The current FIP leader is Braves starter Spencer Strider (2.70 FIP). Tarik Skubal has pitched 44.1 innings this season. While the sample size is relatively small, it’s large enough to know that Skubal is in very good form. Skubal has allowed just 1 home run the entire season. Over the last 15 days, the Yankees offense is batting .196 as a team, which ranks dead last in the MLB. The Tigers offense has not been a whole lot better. The Yankees will go with a bullpen game led by Michael King. Over the course of the full season, the Yankees bullpen has the best ERA in the MLB (3.31). With an elite starter on the Tigers side, a very good bullpen on the Yankees side, and two struggling offenses, we will opt to bet the under. Our wager is a half unit on the under 8.5 run total.

We are going to side with the road divisional dogs in this matchup. This system has been highly profitable for SteadyPicks over the last three seasons. The Guardians will start rookie Gavin Williams, who is one of the top pitching prospects in the MLB. He struggled against a tough Dodgers lineup in his last start. Williams holds a 2.05 ERA and 1.04 WHIP on the road this season. On the other side of this pitching matchup for the Twins is Pablo Lopez. In Lopez's last start he allowed 10 hits in 5 innings, including 3 home runs. For whatever reason, Lopez has struggled pitching at home in Minnesota. He has a 4.62 ERA at home, compared to a 2.87 ERA on the road. The Guardians hold the better bullpen, and should have the advantage in the later innings of this game. Our wager is a half unit on the road dogs to win.

We have another wager on the road divisional underdogs. However, we are going to approach this one a bit differently. The Dodgers bullpen has been one of the best in the MLB since the All Star break. Los Angeles will have the pitching edge in the later innings of this game. Our wager is behind Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly through the first 5 innings of this game. Kelly is coming off of his best start of the season. He pitched 7 shutout innings, allowing just 1 hit, and struck out 12 Reds hitters. Kelly has a 7-1 record on the road this season. On the Dodgers side of this pitching matchup is lefty Clayton Kershaw. The Dodgers have won Kershaw’s last 5 starts, but he’s looked a bit off in his last couple of starts. Kershaw pitched just 2 innings against the Guardians in most recent start, and has allowed a home run in each of his starts this month. We see value here getting plus money on the Guardians +0.5 run line through the first 5 innings. Our stake is a half unit.

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