Rangers starting pitcher Dane Dunning is coming off of a 12 strikeout performance on the road against the Giants in his last start. At home in Texas this season, Dunning is 6-1 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.06 WHIP (61.1 innings). Brewers starting pitcher Freddy Peralta has had an inconsistent season. Most of his struggles have come on the road. Peralta has a 4.45 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 56.2 innings pitched on the road this season. Offensively, the Rangers have a significant advantage both over the course of the season and recently. Over the last 15 days, the Rangers have a team OPS of (.820). During that same stretch, the Brewers team OPS is (.663). We will side with the home team and better offense.

Reds lefty starter Brandon Williamson looks to be hitting his stride in August. Williamson has allowed just 5 hits in his last 12.1 innings. He’s allowed 4 hits or less in 8 of his last 9 starts. Williamson has pitched much better in Cincinnati, which is where today's game will be played. On the other side of this pitching matchup for the Blue Jays is Chris Bassitt. The 34-year-old righty has allowed a home run in 4 consecutive starts. His walk rate has been up, and his strikeout rate has been going down. This is never a good sign for an aging starting pitcher. Our model suggests this game is extremely close to a 50-50 matchup, so we will gladly take the plus money with the home team.

Tigers starting pitcher Matt Manning has allowed 6 home runs and 26 hits in his last 21 innings. He has a 5.29 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in August, which is by far his worst month of the season. Guardians starter Tanner Bibee has been one of the most impressive pitchers in the MLB this season. The rookie holds a 9-2 record with a 2.90 ERA and 3.61 FIP. At home in Cleveland, Bibee is 5-1 with a 1.70 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. We like the Guardians starter, bullpen, and offense better in this matchup. We will eat the juice and take the Guardians on the moneyline.

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