The SteadyPicks model has this game projected with a margin of victory of roughly 5 points favoring Kansas. That being said, we see very little edge on Kansas in terms of the spread. Throughout the day today, the Kansas moneyline number has dropped a bit, and we are going to bite. North Carolina will have big man Armando Bacot tonight. While he did come back into the game against Duke, there are concerns about his ability to play 35-40 minutes in this quick 2 day turnaround. In terms of the numbers/data, Kansas has the better adjusted offensive efficiency rating by about 5 points (via KenPom). Kansas also has roughly a 3 point edge in terms of adjusted defensive efficiency. These teams play at a fairly similar tempo, so there is not too much to dig into there. Kansas coach Bill Self has been seeking his 2nd National Championship since the 2007/2008 season. Our numbers suggest he will get it tonight. As much as we love this North Carolina underdog story, we are going with a 2 unit bet on the Kansas moneyline. Enjoy the game everyone, and bet responsibly!

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