The books are calling for this fight to hit the scorecards. The over/under is set at 4.5, and it’s juiced heavily toward the over with average odds at roughly (-160). The fight to go the distance currently sits between (-130) and (-150) depending on your book. While both of these fighters have plenty of nasty finishes on their resume, both are also extremely durable. Cory Sandhagen has only been finished once in his UFC career (submitted by Aljamain Sterling in 2020). Marlon “Chito” Vera has never been finished in his UFC career. In terms of the striking metrics, Cory Sandhagen averages almost 2 more significant strikes per minute. Sandhagen also absorbs less strikes per minute. Neither fighter looks to have a significant edge in the grappling department. Our biggest concern with Chito Vera is his willingness to lose the early rounds. Chito tends pick up his pace and hunt for a finish in the later rounds. Cory Sandhagen has never been knocked out, and we like his chances of avoiding the big shot in this fight. A popular bet in this fight is Cory Sandhagen by decision, but we opted for the moneyline instead. Cory Sandhagen has been known to slice and dice his opponents with his knees and elbows. His last fight against Song Yadong ended in a doctor's stoppage, and his fight against Dillashaw looked like it could have been stopped for similar damage. We saw quick finishes in the Moraes and Edgar matchups, but over 5 rounds, Cory can do a lot of damage. Our wager is 1 unit on Cory Sandhagen to win this fight by any method.