The Giants are coming off of a big week 1 win against the Titans. The Giants offense struggled for most of the first half of that game. Once Saquan Barkley got going, this team caught momentum, and pulled off a late upset. While this was an impressive win, it was a sloppy game overall. Daniel Jones threw a really bad interception at the goal in the 4th quarter. The Giants were fortunate to get the ball back and have an opportunity to win the game. For the Panthers, they got off to a slow start, but the offense got it going throughout the game. The Browns have a ton of talent on defense, so our takeaway in the Baker Mayfield debut was primarily positive. Christian McCaffrey had a quiet day in week 1, but he should have a lot more open space against a Giants defense that struggled defending the Titans RB's out of the backfield. Last week, the Giants allowed 61 yards and 2 TD's through the air to the Titans running backs. The Giants defense is missing starters in the secondary and on the defensive line. This is a great opportunity for the Panthers offense to thrive. We will take the road dogs on the moneyline for one unit.

Aside from a touchdown before the half on a strange 4th and 8 play, the Patriots held the explosive Dolphins offense to just 6 points in week 1. Mac Jones had a bit of an injury scare, but he practiced all week and is ready to go for this game. The Steelers won as a dog in week 1 behind their defense. However, the heart of that defense (TJ Watt) is out. There are few players in the NFL that will leave a bigger void than TJ Watt. For us, this bet comes down to two factors. First, we trust the Patriots offense significantly more than the Pittsburgh offense. Second, this line had been trending toward hitting Patriots -3 all week. We want to grab a -2.5 before it potentially reaches that key number of 3.

The Cowboys were at the bottom of the NFL in nearly every offensive metric in week 1. They had Dak Prescott for a significant chunk of that game, so losing him is not the only reason the offense struggled. Credit to the Buccaneers defense, but there is reason for concern with this Cowboys offense. They lost Tyron Smith prior to the season, and lost Dak Prescott in week 1. Now the Cowboys run into an 0-1 Bengals team that we know can score points in bunches. Simply put, it's hard to imagine Cooper Rush and the Cowboys offense keeping pace with Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Ideally we wanted this spread at -6.5 but it does not look like we will get there. Our bet is a half unit on the Bengals -7.

We are taking a half unit flyer on the Cardinals for a couple of reasons. First, the lookahead line in this game was Cardinals +3. After the Cardinals got blown out by the Chiefs in week 1, the market adjusted drastically on this line. For us, we aren't so sure that the 3 point line move is justified based on 1 bad game. The Cardinals have a lot of talent on their roster, and there will be a ton of Cardinals fans in Vegas for this game.  The Raiders went 5-4 at home last season, and with last year being the Raiders first season in Vegas, there is not a ton of data on how big of a home field their stadium provides. With a lot of unknown in this game, we will opt to grab the 6 points with the road dogs. Our bet is a half unit.

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