The Buccaneers pulled off a big upset last week in New Orleans! This Saints team was absolutely loaded on both sides of the ball and special teams. Beating this team in New Orleans is very significant. This being said, Drew Brees did play one of the worst games of his career, and Taysom Hill being inactive for the first time all season didn’t help either. 

The last 7 times a team has won their first two road playoff games, they have gone on to go 1-6 straight up and against the spread in that third road game. This doesn’t bode well for Tom Brady and the Bucs. However, it didn’t look good for them last week either, and it almost seems like Tom Brady feels more comfortable in these situations. This is a strong Bucs team that has already beaten the Packers badly once, which creates an additional layer for sports bettors to consider before placing their wagers.

Last week, the Packers took out the team that nobody wanted to play (the Rams). That Rams defense is a nightmare for opposing QB’s. What Aaron Rodgers was able to do was nothing short of incredible. Here’s a wild stat to consider when betting this game. Since Aaron Rodgers has taken over for Brett Favre, the Packers have gone 30-6 (83.3%) at home in games in December and January. This is a dangerous team at home, Aaron Rodgers has publicly stressed the importance of home field advantage for the Packers throughout his career.

Here’s our key takeaways regarding the way this line has moved throughout the week. When the line opened at Packers -4, the public lightly backed the Packers. Oddly, throughout the week as majority Packers money continued to come in, this line moved toward the Bucs and went to Packers -3.5. As of the writing of this article (Friday afternoon), the line has now moved to Packers -3 despite over 70% of the public money backing the Packers. This signals very sharp money coming in on the Bucs. Our members may read this and assume that because of this sharp move, our bet is going to be on the Bucs on Sunday. Please know that is not the case. There are still two days left to see what happens with this line, and we plan to evaluate it until Sunday morning. If this line moves back toward the Packers, we could see that reverse line movement signal soften, making it less valuable of a resource. 

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