Miami Moneyline (-140)
The Miami Hurricanes have one of the best offenses amongst any team in this tournament. They rank 12th overall in adjusted offensive efficiency, and 20th in effective field goal percentage. Miami is fantastic at the foul line (17th nationally in free throw percentage), and they shoot the ball well from beyond the arc (inside the top 50 in three point percentage). The weakness with this Miami group is on the defensive side of the ball, where they rank outside the top 100 in defensive efficiency. As for Drake, this team has a very good defense. Drake ranks inside the top 50 in adjusted defensive efficiency, and they are one of the best defensive rebounding teams in the nation. In terms of offensive efficiency, Drake ranks 98th nationally and has been inconsistent throughout the year. This is a spot where many bettors and bracket holders may look for an upset given Miami's struggles down the stretch (2-2 in their last 4). That said, we are going to side with the team who has the far better resume of wins, and the more experienced head coach. Miami has wins against Providence, NC State, Virginia, Clemson, Duke, North Carolina, and Pitt. Drake’s most notable wins are Mississippi State and Bradley (who beat them in the regular season). Miami’s head coach Jim Larranaga made an Elite 8 run last year, he’s been to two other Sweet 16’s with Miami, and he made a Final 4 run at George Mason in 2006. Drake's head coach Darian DeVries has done a great job with this program, but has never won a game in the NCAA tournament. Our wager is one unit on Miami to win and advance.
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