We waited all week to see if any 3’s would pop up, but unfortunately the market does not look like it’s going to get there. We are going to grab a +2.5 now, and if for any reason the market reaches 3 prior to kickoff, we will consider an additional wager. For us, this matchup comes down to the Chargers defense. This defense has big names like Joey Bosa, Khalil Mack, Derwin James, etc., but none of those players seem to be able to help against the run. The Chargers defense ranks bottom 5 in the league in nearly every metric against the run. This is bad news going up against a Jaguars team that has an explosive running back in Travis Etienne, and a strong rushing attack in general. The Chargers strengths on defense are in pass coverage and pass rush. The Jags have one of the highest graded pass blocking offensive lines in the NFL. They also spread the ball out in their passing attack, which makes it tough for secondaries to key in on primary targets. Trevor Lawerence played in a big primetime game last Saturday night, which had a playoff atmosphere and playoff implications. Lawerence struggled a bit against a tough Titans defense, but we expect that experience to help him in this matchup. Down the stretch of the season, Trevor Lawerence played at an MVP level, and the Jaguars defense improved greatly. We've seen a lot of teams with those two ingredients have success in the postseason (think about the Bengals last year). Jaguars coach Doug Pederson also has a strong track record in the postseason. We will grab the 2.5 points with the home dogs.

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