Miami +6.5 vs. Kansas 2:20pm
This Miami team tends to rise to the occasion when the books price them as an underdog. Miami is 11-3 against the spread as a dog this season, covering at a 78% clip in this spot. They have only lost one game in the month of March, which was a 4 point loss to Duke in the ACC tournament. Miami has a ton of upperclassman including several fifth and sixth year seniors. Many of the sharper books such as Pinnacle have already dropped the line to 5.5. If you like Miami, we found the best number at BetMGM.
North Carolina -8 vs. Saint Peter's 5:05pm
Look, we love a good underdog story, and it would be awesome to see Saint Peter's keep this story going. However, this is betting, not a Disney movie. Our numbers suggest this spread should be closer to 11 points, and many other respected models across the industry have this as a double digit projection as well. In terms of the spread, the public money is backing the Peacocks, who are 10-0 against the spread in their last 10 games. At a certain point, the market will adjust on Saint Peter's, and the value on them will go away. We believe the market has reached that point, so we will go ahead and lay the 8 points.
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