Simply put, this is the Lions best chance to win a game the rest of the season. Jared Goff is expected to start, and the Bears are one of the few teams that Goff has had success against throughout his career. The public money is behind the Bears, yet this line is falling toward the Lions. Part of the line movement is due to the Jared Goff news, but you should never ignore when a spread moves through a key number, and this line is trending toward moving to 2.5. We are going to grab the 3 points with home dog, and sprinkle the moneyline as well. Lions coach Dan Campbell will have his team fired up, and the Lions will continue to fight until the final whistle.

We like the value on this player prop more than the spread or total in this game. Our system liked the under here, but on a day like Thanksgiving, there is no fun in betting an under. CeeDee Lamb is also expected to play, which could help this Cowboys offense get back to their high scoring ways. Darren Waller has not scored a touchdown since week 4. Today he faces a Cowboys team that ranks 25th against TEs this season. Aside from rookie linebacker Micah Parsons (who will likely primarily be on pass rush duty today), nobody in the Cowboys secondary can physically matchup with Waller. Don't let the stats fool you, Darren Waller is one of the best red zone threats in the NFL. Our bet is for him to get one touchdown at this juicy plus money price.

Hold your nose for this one. Any logical human is on the Bills here. However, these SteadyPicks System plays are based strictly off of numbers. Our numbers across the board suggest 6.5 points is too many to give the Saints at home, regardless of all the injuries. The Saints are 4-1 against the spread as an underdog this season, and 2-0 against the spread as a home underdog. Sean Payton and this Saints team have historically performed well in this spot beyond just this season. The public money is all over the Bills in this game. The books have a pretty big liability here. We are going to fade all that public money, and side with the books. Our bet is a half unit.

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