Eagles @ Cowboys 8:20pm
Eagles +3.5 (-110)
We have been patiently waiting for a +3.5 on the Eagles at (-110). Throughout the week, the books have had the +3.5’s juiced between (-115) and (-125). PointsBet has the (-110) posted, and we are jumping in on the Eagles. Philly is coming off of a bad loss last week at home against the 49ers (42-19). The Dallas Cowboys also got rolled by the 49ers back in week 5 (42-10). In the first matchup this season between the Eagles and Cowboys, Philadelphia held on for a 28-23 victory. According to the DVOA metrics, the Cowboys have the far better defense in this matchup. The Eagles have a slight edge on offense. It’s interesting to note that Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has done a fantastic job taking care of the football this season. Less than 1.5% of his dropbacks have been graded as turnover worthy plays, and he has a 97 passer rating under pressure. When Dak is taking care of the football, this Cowboys team is very difficult to beat. That being said, Dak has been facing some of the league's worst pass rushes and secondaries over the last month (Giants, Panthers, Commanders, Seahawks). Dak faced two teams with a strong pass rush (Eagles & 49ers). He lost them both. Dallas has had the 2nd easiest schedule in the NFL to this point, with the Eagles having the 6th toughest. Philly has wins over the Dolphins, Chiefs, and Bills over the last couple of months. Dallas has yet to beat a team who is viewed as a contender. Their win over the Seahawks last week was less than impressive. Until the Cowboys prove they can beat good teams, we will gladly take the +3.5 points behind a team that we know can beat good teams. Eagles +3.5 for 1 unit is our wager.
(Pick posted 12/8 at 7:32am via PointsBet)
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