We have an interesting reverse line movement signal in this game. The public money is all over Tennessee today! Roughly 70-85% of tickets and money are behind Tennessee. Despite that, this line has moved from 8 to 9 in Georgia's direction. A reverse line movement like this can be interpreted in many different ways depending who you ask. For us, we are not going to ignore that signal in a primetime game that has a serious betting hold. BetMGM currently has one of the last remaining 8.5's, and that is where our bet is going. Try to find the best number you can on Georgia. Our bet is one unit only.

Baton Rouge is going to be wild for this game tonight! They call this place death valley for a reason, it's very hard to come into this stadium and win. Especially at night. LSU QB Jayden Daniels is having a very good season. He's a dual threat and has only thrown 1 interception this season. LSU ranks top 25 in the nation in many key offensive and defensive metrics. They are top 5 in the nation at defending the run. Alabama is loaded on both sides of the ball. However, the 3 true road games they had were all competitive this season (Texas, Arkansas, Tennessee). We will grab the 13.5 points with home dogs and look for them to keep this game within 2 scores.

It's important to know this line is moving in the wrong direction of where we expected it to go. Iowa State was sitting at -7.5 most of the week. A few -7's showed up yesterday and early this morning. We bit and grabbed one, but now this number is trending toward 6. Anytime we see a move through a key number (3,6,7) it's always worth at least taking note of. Iowa State has dropped 5 straight, but they played nearly all of those games tight. West Virginia has struggled on the road, they were blown out by Texas Tech in their last road game. Iowa State has an edge on the defensive side of the ball, and we've got both of these offenses ranked pretty equal. We will lay the 7 behind Matt Campbell and this Iowa State team at home. Our bet is a half unit.

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