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Mavericks +5.5 @ Warriors 9:00pm
Western Conference Finals (Game 1)
The Mavericks are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread versus the Warriors this season. However, Draymod Green missed 3 of those games, and Klay Thompson missed 2 of them. Tonight the Warriors will have their core together, but we still question whether they should be laying 5.5 points. Luka Doncic has given the Warriors a ton of trouble beyond just this season, he is 9-2 against the Warriors in his last 11 games playing them. The Mavericks defend the perimeter very well, which is where the Warriors like to put away their opponents. If you dig into Steph Curry's numbers against this Mavs team, he's shooting under 30% from 3 point range and averaging just 20 points per game. The Warriors haven't lost a game at home yet this postseason (6-0), however they have had a few tight games. Our bet is for Mavericks to keep this game within the number for a unit.
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