Detroit Tigers starter Eduardo Rodriguez has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB this season. Rodriguez ranks within the top 10 in ERA (2.19), WHIP (0.96), and batting average against (.203). At home in Detroit this season Eduardo Rodriguez is 3-1 with a 1.69 ERA in 26.2 innings. White Sox starter Dylan Cease has not pitched well on the road this season (4.78 ERA). In addition to the road struggles, Cease’s metrics have dropped off significantly from his 2022 campaign. He’s allowing more hits per 9 innings, more home runs, and averaging less strikeouts. The White Sox bullpen is one of the worst in the majors (5.28 ERA). Only the Athletics have a worse bullpen ERA than the White Sox. The Tigers bullpen has been formidable this season. Detroit should hold the pitching advantage for the entirety of this game. Our wager is a half unit on the Tigers moneyline.

We like the Cubs matchup today. Reds starting pitcher Graham Ashcraft has been hit hard in 4 consecutive starts. In his last start Ashcraft gave up 10 hits and 7 earned runs (including 2 home runs). Graham Ashcraft’s numbers are on par with where they were in a larger sample size last season, so we don’t anticipate much progression moving forward. Cubs starter Drew Smyly has a 2.42 ERA at home this season. He’s 3-0 in May with a sub 3 ERA in 5 starts this month. It is worth noting that the Reds hit Smyly hard in his first start of the season. That said, his form has improved greatly in each start since. Our wager is on the Cubs to get a win at Wrigley today and avoid the sweep. 

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