The Blue Jays have lost three consecutive series, all of which against AL East opponents (Rays, Orioles, Yankees). Toronto went 2-9 overall during that stretch. It’s been reported that the Blue Jays players called for a team meeting after the loss yesterday. The good news for Toronto is that it’s Kevin Gausman’s spot in the rotation today. The Blue Jays have lost all 4 of Gausman’s starts in May, but his metrics this season are very good. Gausman’s strikeouts per 9 innings is nearing a career high mark (11.6), and his K to walk ratio is very strong (7.36). Gausman ranks 2nd in the majors in strikeouts (81), trailing only Braves starter Spencer Strider. On the other side of this pitching matchup is Twins starter Louie Varland. The 25 year old righty has some red flags in his advanced pitching metrics. Varland is allowing an average of over 2 home runs per 9 innings. His FIP sits at 5.17. To put that into perspective, Kevin Gausman's FIP is 2.47. The FIP stat measures a pitcher's ability to prevent home runs and walks, while also weighing in their ability to generate strikeouts. It's worth noting that both starting pitchers are righties, but the Blue Jays hit right handed pitching much better than the Twins. Toronto is hitting .266 against righties this season (2nd in MLB), with a .335 OBP (3rd in MLB). Minnesota's offense ranks bottom 10 in the majors in both of those metrics against righties. Blue Jays on the moneyline is our bet.

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