It's surprising to see this line move through 3. For most of this week, this spread was sitting firm at Packers -3. Here we are on game day, and the books have moved the number to a consensus 3.5 across the board. While this looks to be a sharp signal on the Packers, we will opt to grab the hook with the Titans. The Packers young wide receivers showed some signs of life last week, and the Packers rallied back from down 14 points to beat a good Cowboys team. That being said, does that win warrant this Packers team being a 3.5 favorite against one of the better teams in the AFC? For us, we can't suddenly ignore all the red flags the Packers have had through the first 9 weeks of the season. Our numbers suggest the Titans have the better defense. Offensively, the Packers look to have a slight edge. The deciding factor in our bet is the Titans defense which ranks top 10 in the NFL in run defense, pass rush, and pass coverage. Titans star interior defensive lineman Jeffery Simmons is expected to play, and Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry look to be back at full strength. We will look for the Titans to either keep this within a field goal or win it outright. Our stake is 1 unit.

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