It’s tough to stomach laying juice behind a below average team like the Tigers. That being said, we see a significant pitching edge favoring Detroit today. Tigers starter Tarik Skubal has some of the best advanced pitching metrics in the MLB. Skubal has struggled a bit on the road, but the sample size is way too small for us to be concerned. White Sox starter Michael Kopech had an ERA over 7 in his 5 August starts. Even more concerning was that Kopech had a 1.98 WHIP in the month of August. Both bullpens are questionable, so we will opt to limit our wager to the first 5 innings of this game. Make sure that you place your wager in the “2-way” first 5 innings market, which does not include a tie. If this game were to be tied at the end of the 5th inning, this ticket will void rather than lose. Tigers first 5 innings moneyline is our wager.

We like this spot for Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen. Arizona’s ace has struggled on the road at times this season, but he’s been phenomenal at home. Gallen is 11-1 with a 1.79 ERA and 0.92 WHIP at home in Arizona this season (85.1 innings). Today the Diamondbacks will face a very good Orioles team. However, Orioles starting pitcher Jack Flaherty has been struggling. Flaherty has a 6.41 ERA and 1.52 WHIP since joining the Orioles. Baltimore has lost 3 of the 4 games that Flaherty has started. We are going to side with the much better starting pitcher. Our wager is on the Diamondbacks on the moneyline.

In this bet we are looking to take advantage of some expected regression for Astros starter Christian Javier. The Astros starter has an impressive 9-1 record, and the team went 4-1 in his 5 August starts. However, Javier’s ERA has been north of 6 in back to back months (July & August). Javier had an extremely alarming 1.84 WHIP in the month of August. The Astros scored 39 runs in his 5 August starts, which is largely why his poor metrics have been swept under the rug. Our wager is on the Yankees to score 4 or more runs over the duration of this game.

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