(NFL) Rams vs. Bengals 6:30pm
Here we have our first official power play of 2022! This play comes down to a few key metrics. First, we have serious concerns about how the Bengals offensive line will hold up against 2 elite pass rushers (Aaron Donald & Von Miller). No quarterback in the NFL has been sacked more this season than Joe Burrow. If Von Miller and Aaron Donald continue to perform at the level they have been this postseason (both currently hold top 5 all time postseason QB pressure rates), it will allow the Rams to avoid blitzing Burrow where he thrives. Another interesting stat with Joe Burrow is that he torches man defense, but he actually struggles against zone coverage. Of the 14 interceptions that Joe Burrow threw this season, 9 of them came against zone coverage. Guess who plays the 2nd most zone coverage in the NFL? You guessed it, the Rams. This Rams defense runs zone coverage nearly 80% of their defensive plays. The Bengals have had an incredible run here in the postseason, and they have been unbelievable as an underdog (8-3 ATS). However, our numbers point to the Rams on both sides of the ball. We are going with a 5 unit bet on the moneyline. DraftKings currently has the best number available on the Rams amongst the major US sportsbooks. Enjoy the big game everyone, and always bet responsibly!
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