Former NFL player Austen Lane will make his UFC debut in front of the same city that drafted him in football. The 6 foot 6 heavyweight fought on the contender series back in 2018. He faced another former NFL player in Greg Hardy, and was knocked out in the first round. Austen Lane was knocked out again in his next fight by Frank Tate. This loss has not aged well, as Tate has been defeated in 5 of his 7 professional fights since. In 2020 Lane got knocked out for a 3rd time by Vernon Lewis, who has not won a professional fight since. On a more positive note for Austen Lane, he has won his last 6 fights by finish. On the other side of this matchup is Justin Tafa, who is making his 7th appearance in the UFC octagon. Tafa is coming off of 2 consecutive first round knockouts, and he has far more experience against UFC caliber talent. All of Justin Tafa’s wins to this point have come by way of a knockout. Tafa is 0-2 when his fights have gone to a judges decision. Our wager is on Justin Tafa to get his 3rd consecutive knockout.

Wellington Turman has 12 finishes in his professional MMA career, and all of them were within the first 2 rounds. Randy Brown’s last 3 wins have come by decision, but don’t let that fool you. Brown has plenty of finishes on his resume, including 5 since joining the UFC. Prior to joining the UFC, Randy Brown finished all 6 of his professional fights in rounds 1 or 2. With two fighters who are capable of a quick finish, we will opt to bet this fight to go under 2.5 rounds.

A couple notes to consider in this fight. Jamall Emmers will hold a significant height and reach advantage. Emmers is 3-4 inches taller than Jack Jenkins, and holds a 6 inch reach advantage. Typically this would be concerning, but Jack Jenkins is a unique fighter. Back in 2018 on the HFS regional scene, Jenkins lost back to back fights via submission. He took a full year off after the 2nd loss and returned in 2019. Since his return, Jack Jenkins is 8-0. He’s fought just twice in a UFC octagon. The first was in Dana White’s Contender Series, where he won by TKO and got signed. Jenkins followed that up with an impressive win in his UFC debut. Jamall Emmers will without a doubt be Jenkins toughest test yet, but we have good reason to believe he will pass this test. Jack Jenkins has a reputation for his nasty leg kicks, and his elite kickboxing skills. He has finished several opponents with leg kicks on the regional scene. We encourage you to watch some of his fights prior to making this bet. It’s also worth noting that Jamall Emmers suffered a bad knee injury from a heel hook against Pat Sabatini a couple fights back. The injury was almost two years ago, but we imagine Jenkins will be looking to test that knee early and often in this fight. At this (+175) price, the oddsmakers are implying roughly a 36% win probability for Jack Jenkins. We believe his chances are well north of that number. For that reason, our wager is on the underdog to win.

Trevor Peek is an 8-0 prospect who has knocked out every opponent he's faced in his professional MMA career. His opponent Jose Mariscal will make his UFC debut this weekend, but Mariscal has a ton of experience against UFC fighters. He’s faced Gregor Gillespie, Bryce Mitchell, Pat Sabatini, Steve Garcia, and several more. Mariscal has been knocked out 3 times in his MMA career, but he has also knocked out his last 3 opponents. We are going to side with the power and striking volume of Trevor Peek. The props for this fight have not been released at the time of this wager. We may circle back and sprinkle the knockout depending on the price.