It's important to know that in recent history, Iowa State has not been able to win this game. Iowa State has lost 6 straight to Iowa. However, this is an interesting spot today. Iowa looked terrible offensively last week. They failed to score a touchdown against South Dakota State, and had just 166 total yards of offense. Iowa State on the other hand looked good, especially on the offensive side of the ball. This should be a tight game that could go either way. We will take the points with the dogs for one unit.

Our numbers suggest this game should be a true pick em, so we will gladly grab the 4 points with the road dogs. Texas Tech's starting QB is out for this game. Backup sophomore Donovan Smith lit it up when he came in relief last week. However, this will be a much tougher test for him than the Murray State defense was. If you're looking for a live dog, look no further than Houston. You should be able to get around (+150) on the moneyline.

Prior to Florida's win last week against Utah, we had the look ahead line on this game at Florida -3. The line opened Florida -3.5, but has since moved all the way to -6 after the win against Utah. Let's not forget that Utah was in prime position to win that game. Utah's QB made a poor mistake on 2nd and goal and threw an interception. Had Utah of won, we firmly believe this line would have been between 2.5 and 3.5. For those reasons, we will take the inflated +6, and fade the heavy public money. Our bet is a half unit.

The line movement in this game is a bit concerning, which is why we are opting for just a half unit play here. However, USC looked very impressive on both sides of the ball last week against Rice. Their QB Caleb Williams went 19/22 and looked very comfortable. Lincoln Riley has playmakers on both sides of the ball, the defense had 4 interceptions last week. Stanford has a lot of experienced upperclassman, but USC should have an edge on both sides of the ball. We will lay the 8.5 points and look for a double digit win.

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