To keep this one short and simple, Michigan is the #1 team in our power rankings. This team is loaded with elite talent at every position, and they don’t make mistakes. Their head coach Jim Harbaugh will be out, but he’s allowed to be with the team during the week. Michigan has plenty of excellent coaches on their staff that are capable of keeping this Michigan train on the tracks. Ohio State is extremely talented as well, but we have concerns about their QB Kyle McCord. The sophomore has played very well when he gets time to throw the ball (126 passer rating with a clean pocket). It doesn’t hurt that McCord is also throwing to the best wide receiver in the nation (Marvin Harrison Jr.). However, McCord has a 47.6 passer rating under pressure this season. One thing for sure is that McCord is going to be pressured by this Michigan defensive line. It’s going to be loud and rowdy in Michigan's stadium. We anticipate some mistakes from the young QB. Michigan’s QB JJ McCarthy will also be under pressure against the Ohio State defense. The difference is that McCarthy has an extremely impressive 101.9 passer rating under pressure. We will side with the better QB and better overall team, who are also playing on their home field. We are risking 1.5 units to win 1 unit on the Michigan moneyline.

The 50 point total is a bit too high for us to pass up on. While this Louisville team is more known for their offense, they have a very good defense as well. That defense is especially good at home. Louisville’s defense is allowing an average of just 12.7 points per game at home. Some of their home opponents include Notre Dame, Duke, Virginia Tech, Boston College, etc. Louisville runs the ball about 50% of their offensive plays. This keeps the clock rolling. Kentucky’s best shot to stay in this game is to lean on their defense and keep the scoring down. Our wager is a half unit on less than 50.5 points to be scored.

Auburn's defense has been very good this season. They are stout against the run, and in pass coverage. Auburn held Georgia and Ole Miss under 30 points. They held all other home opponents (other than New Mexico State last week) under 15 points. While some may be concerned about the New Mexico State loss, we aren’t going to put too much emphasis on it. Auburn was looking ahead at this Bama game for the Iron Bowl. Auburn had little to no motivation in that game. Having already secured their 6 wins, Auburn had little to gain by adding a 7th there. The game today is much different. This rivalry is deep rooted, and we expect both teams to come out with full intensity today. Auburn and Alabama run the ball more than 50% of their offensive plays. This should keep the game clock rolling, which bodes well for the under. In an intense rivalry game featuring two good defenses, and two offenses that like to run the ball, we feel comfortable on the under in this total. Our stake is a half unit on less than 48 total points to be scored.

This game is a bit of wild card play for us. For those who are unfamiliar, this is a massive in-state rivalry game. These two schools hate each other. Arizona brings the better team into this game. The Wildcats have one of the most exciting young QBs in college football. Arizona is coming off of a blowout win against Utah. They are also 9-2 against the spread this season. Many bettors have gotten behind Arizona on a weekly basis. Arizona State is 3-8 this season, and they just got rolled by Oregon (49-13). Prior to that, Arizona State beat UCLA on the road, and gave Washington all they could handle back in late October. The Sun Devils defense held Michael Penix Jr., and the explosive Washington offense, to just 15 points. ASU’s defense is very good for a 3-8 team. The offensive side of the ball is where we have some concerns for ASU. That being said, the Sun Devils are expected to get back their freshman QB Jaden Rashada. He missed ASU’s last 9 games, but this freshman is an exciting talent. He should give the ASU offense a boost. Arizona State is not bowl eligible. This is the final game of their season, and in many ways, this is their bowl game. Arizona State has certainly had this game circled on their schedule. On the other hand, Arizona has a bowl game in their future. We mentioned that Arizona is 9-2 against the spread this season. Their 2 losses against the spread both came in games where they were laying double digit points as a road favorite (Stanford & Colorado). We will take the +13 points with the Sun Devils. Our stake is a half unit.

This is our longshot under bet of the day. We recommend a small bet. There is a lot of unknown in this matchup with both starting QB’s out. Florida State takes a much bigger hit at the QB position. They will be without Jordan Travis, who is one of the best players in the nation. Florida will start freshman Max Brown, who came in relief for Mertz after he was injured last week. Brown showed flashes of why he was a highly sought after recruit, but he also had some freshman moments. Brown was playing in a tough Missouri environment, whereas today he will be at home in the swamp. While Max Brown may not be the passer that Mertz is, he can run and move in the pocket better than Mertz. Florida State will start Tate Rodemaker, who is a 4th year junior. In 93 career dropbacks, Rodemaker has 7 TDs, 5 INTs, and has been sacked 11 times. This is a huge in-state rivalry game. Florida needs an outright win to become bowl eligible. Many media outlets believe Florida head coach Billy Napier’s job could be on the line depending on the result of this game. In a game like this, with a lot of possible variance, we like to lean toward the underdog. The talent gap is certainly favoring Florida State, but at (+205) odds, we are comfortable taking a quarter unit shot on Florida. These Gators would love nothing more than to spoil the party for Florida State. Let’s see what happens, enjoy the game!