Ismael Bonfim vs. Benoit Saint-Denis
Ismael Bonfim By KO/TKO Or Decision
Double Chance (-175)
Ismael Bonfim made a big splash in his UFC debut, knocking out a talented striker in Terrence McKinney. Bonfim’s last 5 fights have all ended by either knockout or decision, and that is exactly what we forecast here in this matchup. Benoit Saint-Denis has never been knocked out or submitted in his MMA career. Our biggest concern with Saint-Denis in this matchup is the amount of damage he takes. He absorbs an average of nearly 7 significant strikes per minute. This looks to be a bad recipe against Bonfim. Saint-Denis has good takedown defense (85%), as does Bonfim (100%). If this fight plays out on the feet as we anticipate, the two most likely outcomes we forecast are Bonfim by knockout, or winning by points with his striking volume. Our wager is on a “Double Chance”, which will cover both of these potential outcomes.
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