We have a big Thursday Night matchup on the menu. This game likely has significant playoff implications. Our wager in this game is not on a side, but rather for the game to go over the 46 point total. Let’s start with the Saints offense versus the Rams defense. The Saints offense has scored 24+ points in three consecutive games. The New Orleans offense ranks top 10 in the NFL in red zone trips per game. The Rams defense ranks outside the top 10 in this same metric on the defensive side. LA’s defense ranks well below the league average in sacks per game and turnovers per game. Saints QB Derek Carr has a 103 passer rating with a clean pocket, versus a 63 passer rating when pressured. Given the Rams inability to consistently generate pressure on opposing QBs, we anticipate Derek Carr to be able to have success throwing the ball. Moving over to the Rams offense versus the Saints defense. The weakness of the Saints defense has been defending the run. New Orleans ranks at the bottom portion of the league in rush yards allowed per game and yards per carry. They also allow a lot of extended runs of 10+ yards, and rank bottom 10 in tackling. This looks to set up well for Kyren Williams and the Rams rushing attack. The Rams offense ranks top 10 cashing in down at the goalline, with the Rams defense ranking 26th in this metric. It is worth noting that the Saints defense is very good in pass coverage. However, they have a major weakness covering the slot. The Rams have two receivers (Kupp, Nacua) that are very dangerous in that slot position. Our wager is a half unit on more than 46 points to be scored.