We missed the boat here by not getting this bet in earlier. Less than a month ago, Sean O'Malley was priced around (+330) on the moneyline. The respected money wiped those (+300) numbers out, and now the market seems to have settled here around (+225). We like this matchup a lot for O'Malley. He will bring in a 4-5 inch height advantage, and a 5-6 inch reach advantage. He will be the much bigger fighter in there. In terms of the data/numbers, Sean O'Malley has better striking numbers across the board. He also has slightly better striking defense in terms of significant strikes absorbed per minute. Now take these stats with a grain of salt, as the competition level has been much different for both fighters, and we certainly do not overlook that. In terms of grappling, Yan looks to have a decent edge. However, we need to take the grappling numbers with a grain of salt as well. O'Malley has been facing opponents that are willing to stand and exchange with him. Nobody has really had success grappling against O'Malley. Many of his opponents who have tried were knocked out, and we feel that's a real possibility to a path of victory for him here. Yan is without a doubt the more accomplished and experienced fighter, but O'Malley's striking makes him wildly appealing as a big underdog. We always preach not to chase steam, as the value is typically gone once the numbers move. We are breaking the rule a bit here, but with just a small half unit bet. This should be an amazing fight regardless of the result. Be sure to tune in!

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