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Saint Mary's vs. VCU 2:00pm
(Round of 64)
Saint Mary's -3.5 (-110)
Saint Mary’s looked awful in their final game heading into the NCAA tournament, suffering a 51-77 loss to Gonzaga. That said, Saint Mary’s played 33 games this season, so we feel it’s important to evaluate their full sample size. Saint Mary’s ranks 8th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, and inside the top 40 on the offensive side of that metric. They are a fantastic rebounding team, which VCU is not. The strength of VCU is on the defensive side of the ball. However on offense, VCU ranks well outside the top 100 in offensive efficiency. VCU is a poor free throw shooting team, and they also turn the ball over a lot on offense (271st in the nation in offensive turnover percentage). This is bad news against a Saint Mary’s defense that is very good at generating turnovers. We will lay the 3.5 points with who the metrics suggest is the much better overall team. Our stake is one unit.

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