We like this matchup for the local Pennsylvania native Bill Algeo. He’s coming off of a tough split decision loss against a talented opponent in Andre Fili. Prior to that, Algeo had rattled off two straight wins. He’s an unorthodox boxer with solid grappling and wrestling skills. Bill Algeo's cardio looks to be a real strength in his game, he can keep a high pace for 15 minutes. TJ Brown is a good wrestler, who will likely be looking to take this fight to the mat. Bill Algeo’s 55% takedown defense is slightly concerning against a wrestler of TJ Brown's caliber. That being said, Algeo has not been submitted in his 6 fight UFC career. Shane Burgos submitted him back in 2014 prior to joining the UFC, but that was nearly 10 years ago. We’ve seen Algeo escape from some very tough spots. He looks to be a tough fighter to submit, and he's never been knocked out. It's also worth noting, Bill Algeo likes to do damage from the ground. He has very good Muay Thai skills. We see far more paths to a victory for Bill Algeo in this matchup. We will take him on the moneyline risking 1 unit.