The Raptors have played well in three straight games heading into this matchup against the Warriors. They won outright in Sacramento as a 3 point underdog on Wednesday, and held the Kings offense to just 95 points. Nick Nurse has been tightening Toronto’s rotation to 8-9 players, and the team has responded well to this. The Raptors lead the NBA in steals per game (9.4), and points off of turnovers per game (21.0). The Warriors rank bottom three in the entire NBA at allowing points off of turnovers. Andrew Wiggins is questionable, if for any reason he misses this game it will be a big hit to the Warriors defense. It’s no secret that the Warriors play much better at home, but they’ve actually failed to cover the spread in 5 straight home games. That stretch includes outright losses to the Pistons and Magic. The Raptors are 9-5 as a road underdog, this has been a highly profitable spot to back them. Our bet is one unit on the road dogs to keep the game within 5 points.

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