We are rolling with the road divisional dogs tonight in this NL East matchup. Phillies starter Ranger Suarez carries a 9.82 ERA into this game. You may be wondering why we would put our money behind someone with such a steep ERA. We encourage those considering this bet to look at Ranger Suarez's FIP metrics. These metrics measure a pitcher's ability to prevent home runs, limit walks, and create strikeouts. Suarez has a decent FIP at 3.47. His expected ERA is nearly half of his current ERA. We anticipate progression for Ranger Suarez moving forward. The Mets do not hit left handed pitching very well, so tonight looks like a good spot for Suarez to find success. On the other side of this pitching matchup is Mets starter Kodai Senga. In Kodai Senga’s first season in the MLB, he holds a 4.31 FIP and a 3.94 ERA (48 innings). It’s worth noting that Senga is a righty, and the Phillies are amongst the best teams in the MLB at hitting right handed pitching. The Phillies offense has a .338 on base percentage against righties (2nd in the majors). The Phillies bullpen has been slightly better than the Mets to this point. Our wager is a half unit on the underdogs. 

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