We see a big discrepancy here between where our data suggests this spread should be, and where the market has it. Our model has High Point winning this game by 4. The KenPom model is calling for a 3 point win, and several other respected data sources have this game projected between 3-4 points in High Point’s favor. The biggest strength of this High Point team is their ability to get to the free throw line. Winthrop has a higher ranked offense in most key categories, but their defense is horrible! It's important to know, Winthrop is going to live or die by the 3 point line. They get about 36% of their points from downtown. If Winthrop shoots the ball well tonight, our ticket will certainly be in trouble. However, High Point defends the perimeter very well, so we will take our chances. Our bet is a half unit on the home team to win.

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