Our numbers suggest this game should be closer to a pick em, so we see value getting 3.5 points with the home team. The Blazers have been terrible against the spread as an underdog this season (1-8 ATS). As a result of that, there is a lot of public money fading the Blazers tonight. It's important to remember that the sports betting market is always correcting itself. Especially in the spots where the public is winning. A perfect example of this is the Cavaliers. If you have been betting the Cavs, congratulations, you caught a very rare run in sports betting. If you plan on hopping on the Cavs train now, just know a market correction and regression is likely right around the corner. The same applies here with the Blazers. We see more value backing them and hoping to catch the regression swing, rather then fading them and hoping this train goes one more stop. Our bet is on the Blazers for one unit. For those who are betting other games in the NBA, be aware that the league is having a horrible COVID outbreak right now. Be careful betting.

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