Bucks vs. Bulls 8:00pm
Under 228.5 Total Points (-109)
Our pick for the NBA tonight is a half-unit play on the under in the Bucks-Bulls game. The Bulls rank 29th in the league in pace of play at 96.7, along with an 18th best offensive rating. Of the games that the Bulls have played this season, only two of them have gone over 228.5, with the total score from their games averaging 223.2 points. The Bucks have a top 10 offensive efficiency rating. They rank 2nd in pace and their defense ranks bottom 6 in efficiency. A lot of these Bucks metrics point to an over friendly team. However, it’s the playstyle of the Bulls that draws us to the under. The clear path for Billy Donovan and the Bulls in this matchup is to slow the game down, and limit the Bucks potent offense. We do not anticipate the Bulls coming out with a gameplan of trying to win a fast paced offensive game against the Bucks. They will lose that battle the majority of the time, and Bulls coach Billy Donovan knows this. The Bucks have lost two straight games to Indiana and Orlando, largely because of their defense. Milwaukee should have an extra emphasis on the defensive side of the ball tonight. Our wager is a half unit on less than 228.5 total points to be scored.
(Pick posted 11/13 at 10:57am via BetRivers)
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