The Warriors are 4-10 against the spread as a road favorite this season. This is a spot we have bet frequently at SteadyPicks, and we are going to continue to fade this Warriors team as a road favorite. Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has returned to the lineup after missing a few games. While he was out, the Thunder struggled to execute their fast paced gameplan. The Warriors play at the fastest pace in the NBA, but OKC is one of the few teams that actually outruns this Warriors group. The Thunder rank top 5 in the league in pace, miles per game, and average player speed. OKC uses their athleticism to wear their opponents down, which is why teams often come out flat after playing the Thunder. Oklahoma City should have a big edge in the paint in this matchup, they rank 3rd in the NBA in points in the paint per game. The Warriors rank 28th in the league in this metric. Our wager is a half unit on the Thunder to cover the 4 points.

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