It's hard to provide a logical explanation to where the points are going to come from in this game. However, the beauty of data is that it can capture information that the human eye cannot. Our numbers suggest this total should be closer to 44, so we will gladly take a 4 point edge on this total. Neither one of these offenses are explosive, so it will be interesting to see how this one plays out. The Bears have a bottom 5 defense in the NFL. The Patriots defense is middle of the pack, but they have been very good in pass coverage. The public money is on the under, as many bettors are likely wondering where these points are going to come from. We will trust our data and fade the public. Our bet is a half unit only.

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