Tonight we have one of the most evenly split games of the week 12 slate. The betting market is divided on the spread, the moneyline, and the total. The Colts have gone under in 9 of 11 games this season. The Steelers have gone under 6 of 10 games. The Steelers defense has gotten back several key players (including TJ Watt), but still allowed 37 points to the Bengals last week. That game was at home in Pittsburgh, where the Steelers defense is usually at their toughest. This Colts offense is nowhere near the Bengals in talent, but they do have a strong rushing attack, and the offense looks to be trending upward from where they were earlier this season. The Steelers offense is also trending up, they scored 30 against Cincinnati last week, and 20 the week prior against a tough Saints defense. With a healthy TJ Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick, this Steelers defense is very capable of scoring points on their own, or creating turnovers leading to easy points for the offense. Our bet is on this game to go over 39.5 total points. A half unit only here, as it's hard to find a significant edge in this primetime matchup.

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