This Orioles team is young, and they lack postseason experience. They also have a questionable starting pitching rotation for a team that won over 100 games. In game 1 the Orioles will start Kyle Bradish, who has a 2.23 ERA and 0.95 WHIP at home in Baltimore this season. Bradish has a 1.08 ERA against the Rangers in 2 starts against them this season. Texas may have the edge offensively. We see a clear cut advantage for the Orioles in the starting pitching matchup and with their bullpen. The environment at Camden Yards will be electric today. Our wager is on the Orioles moneyline.

Prior to making this wager, it’s important to know that Braves starting pitcher Spencer Strider is 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA against the Phillies this season. Phillies starter Ranger Suarez faced the Braves once this season, and pitched very well. Suarez threw 6 innings, allowed 4 hits, 1 earned run, and struck out 7. The Phillies lost that game, but it was not due to Suarez's performance. While the Phillies have struggled against Strider, they’ve also seen him a lot. They are very familiar with him. Atlanta hasn’t played a meaningful game in over a week. The Phillies bullpen finished the season with better metrics than Atlanta. They especially outperformed the Braves bullpen down the stretch of the season. Road divisional dogs have been our most profitable spot since we started betting the MLB at SteadyPIcks. While it is the postseason, which makes divisions meaningless at this point, this is a prime road divisional dog spot. The price on the Braves is too steep. In what should be a close game, we will take the +1.5 run line with the road team. Our stake is a half unit.

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