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Missouri vs. Alabama 6:00pm
Missouri +5.5 (-110)
Maybe we are foolish at this point to continue to bet against this red hot Alabama team. However, we continue to see strong value, so we will continue to trust the numbers. Outside of one bad loss to Kansas, Missouri has been fantastic at home this season. The Tigers have the 8th ranked adjusted offensive efficiency in the nation. Alabama ranks 14th in this metric. Similar to Bama, Missouri likes to play at a fast tempo. We don’t forecast Alabama being able to run this Missouri team out of the gym the way they have with previous opponents. Missouri’s offense is very efficient inside the perimeter, and their defense ranks 1st in the nation in steal percentage. This prediction very well may age poorly with how well Bama is playing, but Missouri looks like a live underdog here. We will grab the 5.5 points with the home dogs. and look for this game to be competitive down to the wire. Our bet is a half unit.

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