A few notes to consider in this matchup. First, Michigan State is one of the best three point shooting teams in the nation. The Spartans rank 6th in three point percentage. However, Kansas State is one of the best teams in the country at defending the three point line. Opponents are shooting under 30% from three point range against K-State. On the defensive side of the ball, the metrics suggest Kansas State has the edge everywhere other than rebounding. The Wildcats create a lot of turnovers, whereas the Michigan State defense ranks outside of the top 300 creating turnovers. Offensively, these teams grade out very close to one another in terms of efficiency, but their strengths are very different. Kansas State struggles from three point range, but they are extremely efficient inside the perimeter. Kansas State cuts to the basket more than any team in the country, and Michigan State ranks outside the top 300 at defending cuts to the basket. Our last note here, Kansas State played in the most competitive conference in basketball (Big 12). They have wins over elite teams such as Texas, Baylor, Kansas, TCU, and Kentucky. Michigan State struggled in the Big Ten throughout the year, which has no teams remaining outside of the Spartans. We are going to ride with the team who has the more complete body of work this season. Our wager is a half unit on Kansas State +1.5.

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