Prior to making this wager, it’s important to consider one key factor to make sure you are comfortable with it. This Marquette offense is fantastic, they rank 6th in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency, and 7th in effective field goal percentage. These two metrics are a good indication of how offenses perform when things get tough. Michigan State also has a talented offense, but in a very different way. The Spartans rank outside the top 100 in effective field goal percentage, but this team can shoot the lights out! Michigan State ranks 3rd in the nation in three point percentage. Now moving back to the key factor to consider, Marquette does not defend the perimeter well. The Golden Eagles rank outside of the top 250 nationally in perimeter defense, which is definitely concerning against an elite three point shooting team. In addition to that, Michigan State holds the better rebounding metrics. This game is going to come down to Marquette’s inside game versus Michigan State’s outside game. Marquette has the nation's 2nd longest win streak at 10 games, including wins over Xavier (twice), Creighton, and UConn. Michigan State is 8-8 overall in their last 16 games, merely a .500 team. Simply put, we believe Marquette is the more complete team, who will not be dependent on their three point shooting in order to win today. Michigan State’s coach Tom Izzo is terrifying to bet against in March, but Marquette's coach Shaka Smart is right up there amongst the elite coaches in the college basketball. Pending a big three point shooting performance from Michigan State, we like our odds to cash this ticket.

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