The Warriors had a great opportunity to end this series on their home floor in game 6. They were unable to close it out, losing by 19 points on their home floor. That brings us to one of the most exciting scenarios in sports, a win or go home game 7. If you’ve been using SteadyPicks this NBA season, you are likely aware that we like to fade the Warriors on the road. It’s been a highly profitable spot for us this season. Golden State is 13-31 against the spread on the road, and 5-15 against the spread as a road underdog. That being said, in game 5 the Warriors went into Sacramento and won. The crazy part about that win is that the Warriors didn’t play very well offensively. They shot 28% from three point range (11/38), and just 63% from the free throw line. The Warriors defense played great, which propelled them to a victory. Today we anticipate the Warriors offense playing closer to their season averages, but bringing back that defensive aggression from game 5. This Warriors roster has been in these big game situations many times. The bright lights are brand new to the majority of the Kings roster. Sacramento’s 25-19 home record does not indicate that they have a significant advantage in their home arena. The city of Sacramento will be looking to “light the beam” today. However, we’d rather take the plus money with the champs to spoil the party. A half unit on the Warriors moneyline is our wager.

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