A few notes to consider in this matchup. The Heat are 0-3 against the Bulls season both straight up and against the spread. Miami is 14-28 ATS at home this season, and 11-26 ATS as a home favorite. The Heat have been dreadful for bettors all season, yet they continue to catch a lot of tickets. The Bulls have won 5 of their last 7 games, including an impressive comeback win on the road against the Raptors. Toronto is a very tough place to win. While the Raptors free throw shooting didn’t help their cause, the Bulls got the job done. Many bettors will key in on the Bulls season record, which is not impressive (40-42). However, it’s worth considering that this team has one of the most efficient offenses in the league. The Bulls rank 3rd in field goal percentage, 5th in free throw percentage, and they do not rely on three point shots to win games. Chicago also has a top 5 defensive rating across the entire NBA. The Heat will benefit from back to back home games, while the Bulls will play their 2nd straight road elimination game. We will opt to take the 5.5 points with who the metrics suggest is the better overall team. Unibet is currently offering a +6 at (-114) for anyone who prefers that. We will opt for 8% less juice on the +5.5 at (-108).

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