We faded this Florida State team earlier this week against Miami, and we are fading them again today for many of the same reasons. Leonard Hamilton’s group ranks outside of the top 125 nationally in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency. This is out of character from this Florida State program. From 2017-2021, all of FSU’s teams ranked within the top 50 in both of those metrics. Clemson ranks inside the top 75 in those categories, and they grade higher than Florida State in nearly every metric across the board. This is one of those weird matchups where the spread is much shorter than the data suggests it should be. However, we will trust the data here, and roll with the better team by the numbers. Our bet is one unit on Clemson to win this game by 2 points or more.

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