Notre Dame +3.5 (-105)
Our model has this line projected at 2.5, so we are going to grab the best available on the current 3.5 point spread. It’s possible that Ohio State could catch a lot of public money this week, and maybe 4’s will become available. On the other side of that, if money comes in on Notre Dame, this game could close without the hook. Notre Dame has the better QB in this matchup behind Wake Forest transfer Sam Hartman. This season, Hartman has thrown 13 TD’s and 0 interceptions. He’s one of the best deep ball throwers in college football history, which has created an explosive Notre Dame offense. Hartman is a 6th year senior. He’s 24 years old, which is older than several NFL starting QBs. Hartman has a near perfect 155.0 passer rating with a clean pocket, and a 121.5 passer rating under pressure. Ohio State’s QB Kyle McCord has a 44.9 passer rating under pressure. Nearly 5% of his dropbacks this season have resulted in a turnover worthy play. According to PFF, only USC has a higher graded offense than Notre Dame this season. Notre Dame ranks 5th overall defensively, with Ohio State’s defense ranking 1st in the nation. All things considered, Notre Dame looks to have one of the most complete and balanced teams in the nation. This game will be played at Notre Dame Stadium, which will without a doubt be a loud and wild environment for the Buckeyes. Even if the 4’s become available, we are comfortable having the 3.5 points in our pocket at this appealing (-105) price. For that reason, we will go ahead and bet this one early in the week.
(Pick posted 9/19 at 10:23am via FanDuel)
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